| 09:00 - 09:10 |
Welcome
- Peter Lyford-Pike, Managing Partner - FAS / Uruguay
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| 09:10 - 09:50 |
Outlook for the International Pulp Markets
- World demand for market pulp did not grow in 2009; a 3.2 million tonne increase in China's imports was offset by declines in the rest of the world. Demand in 2010 is expected to be slightly lower than in 2009.
- THis year, 2010, 1.6 million t/y of idled BSKP capacity restarts and 2.5 million t/y of new BHKP capacity should become available.
- New BHKP expansion projects whose start-up dates are still uncertain total 17 million t/y
Speaker
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| 09:50 - 10:25 |
Transportation issues and international trade in woodchips and biomass
- What is happening in bulk vessel market ?
- Where will woodchip market go ?
- What changes will drive demand for woodchip vessels ?
Speaker
|
| 10:25 - 10:55 |
Break
|
| 10:55 - 11:25 |
Japan Woodchip Market Outlook
- Market Outlook of Paper and Paperboard.
Drastic decline of domestic demand of paper and paperboard hit by Lehman Shock.
- Supply and Consumption of woodchip (Import and Domestic).
Decreased consumption and Change of origin.
- Trend of Market Pulp and Recovered Paper.
Utilization rate up and Export of recovered paper for China Increased.
- Other Factors affecting Woodchip Market（Thinning, Plantation, Forest Certification).
Thinned wood and plantation preferred for CO2 sequestration.
- Biomass Utilization.
Wood fiber started to be utilized for biomass.
- Outlook of Woodchip Market in 2010.
Decreased and leveled off but still considerably great volume
Speaker
-
Mr Kiyoshi Kamikawa, Managing Director in Pulpwood, Pulp & Recovered Paper Division, Japan Paper Association.
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| 11:25 - 11:55 |
China Woodchip Market Outlook
- Surge in hardwood chip imports in 2009-2010.
- First full vessels of softwood chip imports.
- Major importers in China.
- Price trends CIF China ports.
- Outlook for imports in 2011-2014
Speaker
-
Mr. Bob Flynn, Director, RISI Inc, USA (also part of Organising Committee)
|
| 11:55 - 12:25 |
European Market - Woodfiber Supply and Demand Balance
- The next decade will bring an enormous increase in demand for woody biomass in Europe. This is primarily driven by the renewable energy targets and policies of the European Union and the important role of biomass in contributing to much higher levels of renewable energy production.
- Supplying this demand will be challenging! European biomass supply will not meet the new demand levels, even when considering an increased mobilization of European growing wood stock, higher attractiveness of short-rotation forests and the potential use of recovered wood.
At the same time, a fundamental shift of power in the global pulp, paper and panel industry is taking place. The traditional European fibre suppliers are under pressure and the industry is restructuring.
- Pöyry’s latest estimates indicate that the gap between demand and supply for woody biomass can reach beyond 200 million m3 by 2020!
- Signs of a surge in imports are already visible –this provides a unique opportunity for business, particularly for companies that can deliver biomass at competitive costs. A lot is expected from South America.
Speaker
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| 12:25 - 02:00 |
Lunch
|
| 02:00 - 03:30 |
Latin American Woodchip Suppliers Panel
Brazil South
- TANAC has in its recipe for success logistics efficiency, quality, excellence in load compaction and sustainable forest management, offering to the market environmental friendly products.
- TANAC offers a set of operational characteristics which makes it extremely competitive in the international market.
- TANAC fulfills forest management in a sustainable manner, promoting the growth of the communities where it is inserted
Speaker
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| 02:00 - 03:30 |
Latin American Woodchip Suppliers Panel
Chile & Ecuador
- Planted area of eucalyptus and pine in Chile and Ecuador.
- Chile's woodchip export increase to Japan in the last year, becoming the second largest woodchip supplier to Japan.
- FSC certification in future woodchip exports.
- Supply trend from Chile and Ecuador
Speaker
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| 02:00 - 03:30 |
Latin American Woodchip Suppliers Panel
Uruguay & Argentina
- Outlook of the country economy.
- Plantations and main plantation owners.
- Local companies that consume wood for pulp & paper production.
- Main woodchip and pulplog exporters.
- Pulpwood availability for export during the next ten years.
Speaker
|
| 02:00 - 03:30 |
Latin American Woodchip Suppliers Panel
Brazil North
- Amapa Florestal e Celurose S.A. (AMCEL) is a Plantation and wood chip export company located in Amapa State, northern part of the Barzil. (just under the equator.)
AMCEL own 306,000 ha of land and planting Eucalyptus and exporting wood chips to Europe and Japan.
Through the presentation, we will explain about following points of AMCEL.
- History.
- Location.
- Plantation Area (Now & Future).
- Operation (Harvesting, chipping & loading)
- Available volume for export.
Speaker
|
| 03:30 - 04:00 |
Coffee break
|
| 04:00 - 05:30 |
Other Woodchip Suppliers Panel
Southeast Asia
- Woodchips are exported from a number of South East Asian countries including Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam – and maybe Cambodia in 2010-2011.
- Wood types include tropical eucalyptus species/clones and acacia species/clones.
- Generally species type and young age of felling means that pulp- yields are lower than for say E. globulus. However, cheap production costs and short sailing distances to markets can partly compensate.
- Generally difficult/impossible to buy fee simple land – must lease, and often from governments.
- Indonesia has very large areas of dedicated pulpwood plantations. Most of this is committed to world scale pulp mills in Indonesia (one has a capacity of 2.6 million tpy of pulp, and is the largest single site mill complex in the world).
- However, at least four dedicated woodchip export ports have been developed in Indonesia in recent years: one at ~ 200,000 BDMT p.a., two at 550,000 BDMT and one at 700,000 BDMT. At least two more major chip mills are planned.
- The total Indonesian dedicated chip export capacity by 2011 could be more than 2.5 million BDMT, but actual shipments will depend on various resource/internal demand/logistics factors.
- Malaysia has a modest export capability. Much of the previous plantations have been converted to oil palm or sawlog crops. One new chip mill was commissioned in 2005, but has yet to ship any chips.
- Thailand's chip exports grew, then shrank way back but are growing substantially again in 2009-2010. Several new exporters entered the market in 2009.
- Some corporate but mostly farmer plantation expansion in Vietnam has resulted in that country now being a major woodchip exporter. The number of woodchip mills designed to feed the export market has grown from only 15 in 2003 to about 60 in 2009 – most are small but collectively they have become a force in the market.
- Cambodia may be the next woodchip export country in SEA, with at least two companies planning to commence exporting in 2010-2011.
Speaker
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| 04:00 - 05:30 |
Other Woodchip Suppliers Panel
Africa
- Provide a picture of the plantation resource in South Africa, and the positive and negative factors affecting it.
-Deal with the players, trends and developments in the wood chip export industry.
- Mention some local value adding initiatives, and as the conference focuses on biofuels, put some emphasis there.
- Touch on the impact of the financial climate on South African timber growers.
- Briefly provide examples of actual and potential developments in neighboring countries.
Speaker
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Mr Patrick Kime, General Manager, NCT Forestry Cooperative Ltd, South Africa
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| 04:00 - 05:30 |
Other Woodchip Suppliers Panel
Oceania
Countries covered Australia, New Zealand and Fiji
- Softwood Characteristics.
- Softwood Availability trends.
- Softwood Export Future Supply.
- Source of Softwood Imports to Japan.
- Export trendds.
- Natural Forest Hardwood Supply – Australia.
- Plantation Hardwood Supply - Australia.
- Managed Investment Schems.
- Infrastructure Constraints.
- Target markets.
Speaker
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| 04:00 - 05:30 |
Other Woodchip Suppliers Panel
North America
- North America wood chip exports 2008/2009.
- Who were the 2008/2009 exporters.
- Who were the 2008/2009 importers.
- What was the volume of 2008/2009 exports.
- 2010 export outlook.
- 2011 and beyond.
Speaker
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| 05:30 - 09:00 |
Evening networking reception and dinner
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